Still here's what I got:
1. BEST PICTURE: THE SOCIAL NETWORK
Yes, many are saying THE KING'S SPEECH will win this, having won many previous awards, and boasting the most nominations, but I am so feeling the Facebook film to go home with the gold.
2. BEST DIRECTOR: David Fincher for THE SOCIAL NETWORK. Yep, likewise.
3. BEST ACTOR: Colin Firth for THE KING'S SPEECH. I'd prefer James Franco for 127 HOURS but Firth seems like a shoe-in for his stammer-perfect part as George VI.
4. BEST ACTRESS:
Natalie Portman for BLACK SWAN.
Seeing the young Portman again recently at a revival screening of THE PROFESSIONAL (1994) reminded me how far she's come - I expect this to confirm that.
5. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
Christian Bale for THE FIGHTER.
None of the other actors nominated have that unhinged intensity that Bale brought to his role as a boxer gone to seed - or crack.
6. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS: Hailee Steinfeld for TRUE GRIT. Seems about time for such a young actress to win this - also seems time because Steinfeld was so good holding her own up to Jeff Bridges, Matt Damon, and Josh Brolin in this instant Western classic.
And the rest:
7. ART DIRECTION: ALICE IN WONDERLAND
8. CINEMATOGRAPHY: Roger Deakins for TRUE GRIT
9. COSTUME DESIGN: ALICE IN WONDERLAND
10. DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: EXIT THROUGH THE GIFT SHOP. Go Banksy!
11. DOCUMENTARY SHORT: KILLING IN THE NAME
12. FILM EDITING: THE SOCIAL NETWORK
13. MAKEUP: THE WOLFMAN (Rick Baker, Dave Elsey)
14. VISUAL EFFECTS: INCEPTION
15. ORIGINAL SCORE: Alexander Desplat for THE KING'S SPEECH
16. ORIGINAL SONG: "If I Rise" (A. R. Rahman, Dido) from 127 HOURS
17. ANIMATED SHORT: THE GRUFFALO
18. LIVE ACTION SHORT: THE CONFESSION
19. SOUND EDITING: INCEPTION
20. SOUND MIXING: INCEPTION
21. ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: THE KING'S SPEECH
22. ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: THE SOCIAL NETWORK
23. ANIMATED FEATURE FILM: TOY STORY 3
24. BEST FOREIGN FILM: INCEDIES
We'll see how many I get wrong on Sunday night.
More later...